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China Industrial Output Grows, Pointing to Partial Recovery

Data show the economy stabilised after a sharp slump the previous month, but Beijing still faces weak consumption and persistent coronavirus outbreaks


China industrial output
People walk past an H&M store at a shopping centre in Beijing. As shoppers were confined to their homes in Shanghai and other cities, retail sales were still down 6.7%, though better than the drop forecast in a poll and an improvement from a 11.1% slump in April. File photo: Reuters.

 

China’s industrial output rose unexpectedly in May, indicating at least a partial recovery in the world’s second-biggest economy from devastating lockdowns in Shanghai and other cities.

Data show the economy stabilised after a sharp slump the previous month, but Beijing still faces weak consumption and persistent coronavirus outbreaks. Foreign corporate sentiment is also subdued.

Industrial output grew 0.7% in May from a year earlier, after falling 2.9% in April, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Wednesday. That matched the drop expected by analysts in a Reuters poll.

As shoppers were confined to their homes in Shanghai and other cities, retail sales were still down 6.7%, though better than the forecast drop in the poll and an improvement from a 11.1% slump in April.

According to the China Passenger Car Association, the country sold 1.37 million passenger cars last month, down 17.3% from a year earlier, narrowing the decline of 35.7% in April.

 

Fixed Asset Investment Rises

Fixed asset investment, a key indicator tracked by policymakers looking to prop up the economy, rose 6.2% in the first five months, compared with an expected 6.0% rise and a 6.8% gain in the first four months.

The government has been accelerating infrastructure spending to boost investment. China’s cabinet has also announced a package of 33 measures covering fiscal, financial, investment and industrial policies to revive its pandemic-ravaged economy.

The nationwide survey-based jobless rate fell to 5.9% in May from 6.1% in April, above the government’s 2022 target of below 5.5%. However, the surveyed jobless rate in 31 major cities jumped to 6.9%, the highest on record.

Some economists expect employment to worsen before it gets better, with a record number of graduates entering the workforce in summer.

China has set an annual economic growth target of around 5.5% this year but many economists believe that is increasingly out of reach.

 

  • Reuters, with additional editing by George Russell

 

 

READ MORE:

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China’s $318bn Plan to Save Its Economy From Covid Lockdowns

 

 

George Russell

George Russell is a freelance writer and editor based in Hong Kong who has lived in Asia since 1996. His work has been published in the Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, New York Post, Variety, Forbes and the South China Morning Post.