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China’s 2021 Land Sales Slow Sharply as Developers Struggle

Fitch said weaker new home sales will weigh on developers’ land replenishment. The ratings agency expects nationwide residential property sales to fall 10%-15% in 2022.


Workers labour at a construction site in Shanghai, January 14, 2022. File photo: Aly Song, Reuters.

 

Chinese government revenue from land sales climbed a mere 3.5% last year, a sharp slowdown as the country’s property developers grapple with a liquidity crunch caused by regulatory efforts to rein in the sector’s ballooning debt.

Revenue grew to 8.7 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion), data from the Finance Ministry showed. The growth moderated from 3.8% for January-November, and compares with a 15.9% gain in 2020 and 11.4% in 2019.

Sentiment in the Chinese property market, which accounts for a quarter of GDP by some metrics, has been increasingly shaken by the liquidity crisis that has engulfed some of the country’s biggest and most indebted developers.

State-controlled developers have stepped in to dominate land auctions as private firms stick to the sidelines, so sagging demand has pressured local governments to scramble for other income sources.

“We think state-owned developers may continue to dominate the land market in higher-tier cities in 2022, while private developers’ acquisitions will remain muted, especially in the first half of 2022, as their funding conditions have yet to recover meaningfully,” Fitch Ratings said in a report this week.

“Weaker new home sales will also weigh on developers’ land replenishment. Fitch expects nationwide residential property sales to fall 10%-15% in 2022.”

Average new home prices in China’s 70 major cities declined 0.2% in December from a month earlier, according to Reuters calculations from data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), contracting for the third month.

 

• Reuters with additional editing by Jim Pollard

 

 

ALSO on AF:

 

China’s State Property Firms Rescuing Indebted Developers

 

China’s Next Debt Crisis Could Be Municipal Funding Vehicles

 

 

 

Jim Pollard

Jim Pollard is an Australian journalist based in Thailand since 1999. He worked for News Ltd papers in Sydney, Perth, London and Melbourne before travelling through SE Asia in the late 90s. He was a senior editor at The Nation for 17+ years.