Russian assets and Chinese exports will be the two key topics when G7 finance chiefs meet in Italy this week.
The ministers are hoping to find common ground on how to use frozen Russian assets to help Ukraine stave off the invasion, while how to address China’s growing export strength in key markets will be also be discussed, officials said.
Finance ministers and central bankers from the Group of Seven wealthy democracies – the United States, Japan, Germany, France, Britain, Italy and Canada – will gather in the northern Italian lakeside town of Stresa on Friday and Saturday.
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G7 negotiators have been discussing for weeks how to best exploit some $300 billion worth of Russian financial assets, such as major currencies and government bonds, which were frozen shortly after Moscow invaded Ukraine in February 2022.
Legal concerns shadow use of Russian assets
The United States is pushing to find a way to bring forward the future income from those assets, either through issuing a bond or more likely granting Ukraine a loan that it says could provide it with as much as $50 billion in the near term.
However, many legal and technical aspects need to be hammered out, meaning a detailed accord is not expected to be reached in Stresa, several officials said.
In that case, informal talks are set to continue aimed at presenting a proposal to G7 heads of government who will meet in Puglia, southern Italy, on June 13-15.
The idea of the G7 issuing a bond for Ukraine appears to have lost ground, with the US now proposing a loan backed by the income stream from the frozen assets.
Who would administer the loan – the World Bank or some other body – how it would be guaranteed, how future profits can be estimated and what would happen in the event of a peace deal with Russia are all aspects still to be clarified.
European officials are particularly cautious, with one EU diplomat saying it would take “weeks if not months” for a final decision to be made.
Italy holds the G7 presidency this year and its Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti said last week the US proposals on the use of the Russian assets had “quite serious legal implications” which still need clarifying.
Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki also stressed any agreement must comply with international law.
Russia has repeatedly warned the West of consequences if its assets are touched and accused Washington of bullying Europe to take more radical steps to thwart it in Ukraine.
Global trade ‘fragmenting’
The prospects for global trade will be another central topic in Stresa after the United States last week unveiled steep tariff hikes on an array of Chinese imports including electric vehicle batteries, computer chips and medical products.
Giorgetti said after the US move that a “trade war” was being fought reflecting geopolitical tensions and warned of the risk of “fragmentation” to global commerce.
The United States is not calling on its partners to take similar measures against China, but an official said it was likely to push for the G7 communique to express common concern for what it calls Beijing’s industrial “overcapacity”.
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in Frankfurt on Tuesday the United States and Europe needed to address the threat from Chinese imports in a “strategic and united way” to keep manufacturers viable on both sides of the Atlantic and foster development of their domestic clean energy industries.
Other topics to be discussed in Stresa, according to an official programme issued by the Italian presidency, will include the impact of artificial intelligence on the global economy, and a “stocktaking” on sanctions against Russia.
Taxation will also be on the agenda, with Italy trying to revive a deal on a global minimum tax on multinationals which was signed by around 140 countries in 2021, but has not been fully implemented due to opposition in the US and elsewhere.
A proposal for a global wealth tax on billionaires, which has been promoted by Brazil and France among the broader Group of 20 developed countries, would also be discussed in Stresa but was meeting US resistance, one of the officials said.
- Reuters with additional editing by Jim Pollard
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