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Rupee Plummets to Record Dollar Low, Yuan Pressure Blamed

The Indian currency posted its steepest weekly fall in seven months as it led the way amid a tumbling Asian forex market


A man counts Indian currency notes inside a shop in Mumbai, India, on August 13, 2018. Photo: Reuters

 

The Indian rupee fell to a record low against the US dollar on Friday, pressured by a tumbling Chinese yuan and surging local dollar demand.

The rupee ended at 83.4250 against the dollar – its lowest closing level on record – down 0.3% from its close at 83.1475 on Thursday.

The rupee hit an all-time low of 83.43 near the end of the session and fell 0.7% this week, the steepest decline in seven months.

While the weakness in the yuan was pressuring the rupee since the start of the session, aggressive dollar buying in the final few minutes drove it past previous lows, the head of treasury at a mid-sized private bank said.

 

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A lack of substantial dollar inflows and a rise in the dollar index also hurt the rupee, traders said. The dollar index was up 0.4% at 104.39 after hitting a month’s high earlier in the session.

Asian currencies elsewhere fell, with the Korean won leading losses, down by 1.2%. The offshore Chinese yuan dropped to its weakest level since November.

The yuan “weakness reflects increased jitters over geopolitical risks that have seemingly resurfaced”, DBS Bank said in a note.

An “artificial dollar scarcity” in the market, reflected in the depressed overnight dollar-rupee swap rate, also contributed to the rupee’s losses, a trader at a foreign bank said.

The closing days of March are likely to be “critical” for the rupee after Friday’s price action, Abhilash Koikkara, head of foreign exchange and rates at Nuvama Professional Clients Group, said.

If the rupee continues to hover near record lows over the next few days, the bias on the unit is likely to turn negative, Koikkara said.

 

  • Reuters with additional editing by Sean O’Meara

 

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Weak Yuan Dents Asia Currencies, Indian Rupee at Six-Week Low

 

 

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Sean O'Meara

Sean O'Meara is an Editor at Asia Financial. He has been a newspaper man for more than 30 years, working at local, regional and national titles in the UK as a writer, sub-editor, page designer and print editor. A football, cricket and rugby fan, he has a particular interest in sports finance.